{"id":1440,"date":"2008-02-29T00:34:48","date_gmt":"2008-02-28T16:34:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/indian\/2008\/02\/29\/indian-assemblymen-guaranteed-in-5-states\/"},"modified":"2008-02-29T00:34:48","modified_gmt":"2008-02-28T16:34:48","slug":"indian-assemblymen-guaranteed-in-5-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/indian\/2008\/02\/29\/indian-assemblymen-guaranteed-in-5-states\/","title":{"rendered":"Indian assemblymen guaranteed in 5 states"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In <a href=\"http:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/indian\/2008\/02\/28\/4-indians-guaranteed-to-be-in-parliment\/\">part 1<\/a>, I showed that at least 4 Indians will make it to the Parliament since it&#8217;s a competition between Indian candidates in those seats (with exception of Sungai Siput which has an Independent Malay candidate &#8211; but I think he doesn&#8217;t have a chance of winning). In this article, we can see that in 5 states, there will be at least one Indian assemblyman.<!--more--> Penang, Perak, Selangor and Negeri Sembilan will have 2 assemblymen each, while Pahang will have one. That means only Kedah, Malacca, and Johor are not guaranteed of having at least one Indian assemblyman. More on that in my next article.<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>PENANG <\/strong><\/u><br \/>\n<strong>N9 BAGAN DALAM <\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 24.3%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 22.7%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 52.5%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.4%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese = 76.8%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 17,194<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">SUBBAIYAH PALANIAPPAN (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nA. TANASEKHARAN (DAP)<br \/>\n&#8211; If the Chinese votes can be swayed, BN is done for it.<br \/>\n<strong>N16\tPERAI <\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 36.6%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 10.9%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 51.8%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.7%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 88.4%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 14,175<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">KRISHNAN LETCHUMANAN (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nRAMASAMY PALANISAMY (DAP)<br \/>\n&#8211; Again, the Chinese play an important role. Prof Ramasamy being an academic, may get more respect from the other communities.<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>PERAK<\/strong><\/u><br \/>\n<strong>N54\tHUTAN MELINTANG <\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 32.1%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 50.6%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 17.1%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.2%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 49.2%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 20,758<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">S. THANGASVARI (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nKESAVAN SUBRAMANIAM (PKR)<br \/>\n&#8211; This is a bit tough for PKR. Malay votes most likely swing to BN. PKR have lots of work to do.<\/p>\n<p><strong>N57\tSUNGKAI <\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 19.0%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 22.5%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 56.5%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 2.9%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 75.5%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 17,290<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">S. VEERASINGAM (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nSIVANESAN ACHALINGAM (DAP)<br \/>\n&#8211; Again, Chinese will influence the results. Also depends on how much firepower Veerasingam can bring in to cover the voters.<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>PAHANG<\/strong><\/u><br \/>\n<strong>N35 SABAI<\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 19.4%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 36.6%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 43.0%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.1%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 62.4%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 9,486<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">DAVENDRAN MURTHY (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nKAMACHE DORAY RAJOO (DAP)<br \/>\n&#8211; I think incumbent Davendran will nick it with the Malay votes.<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>SELANGOR<\/strong><\/u><br \/>\n<strong>N10 BUKIT MELAWATI  <\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 30.9%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 56.5%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 12.5%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.1%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 43.4%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 12,897<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">K. PARTHIBAN  (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nMUTHIAH MARIAM PILLAY (PKR)<br \/>\n&#8211; Parthiban seemed to have disappeared from the radar after Ijok by-election. He may win in this relatively safer seat, unless PKR is able to attract Malay voters.<\/p>\n<p><strong>N49 SERI ANDALAS <\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 33.0%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 42.9%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 23.3%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.8%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 56.3%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 38,833<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">KAMALAM ANNASAMY  (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nXAVIER JAYAKUMAR ARULANANDAM (PKR)<br \/>\n&#8211; Have been hearing negative comments about Kamala Ganapathy. If PKR can execute their campaign well, control their crowd and not make a nuisance, they may be able to swing the Chinese votes.<br \/>\n<u><strong>NEGERI SEMBILAN<\/strong><\/u><br \/>\n<strong>N7 JERAM PADANG \t<\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 38.6%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 47.5%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 13.8%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.1%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 52.4%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 9,960<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">MOGAN VELAYATHAM  (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nMANOHARAN KANNAN (PKR)<br \/>\n&#8211; Again, this looks like safe seat for BN. Previously held by Dato L Krishnan.<\/p>\n<p><strong>N32 PORT DICKSON <\/strong><br \/>\nIndians &#8211; 29.1%<br \/>\nMalays &#8211; 33.9%<br \/>\nChinese &#8211; 36.6%<br \/>\nOthers &#8211; 0.4%<br \/>\nIndians + Chinese &#8211; 65.7%<br \/>\nTotal voters &#8211; 11,848<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">RAJAGOPALU THAMOTHARAPILLAY (BN)<\/span><br \/>\nRAVY MUNUSAMY   (PKR)<br \/>\nJEEVA KUMAR MARIMUTHU (Independent)<br \/>\n&#8211; this is a tricky one. All three candidates are Indians, so the independent candidate will serve as spoiler for the PKR candidate. BN may win due to this.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In part 1, I showed that at least 4 Indians will make it to the Parliament since it&#8217;s a competition between Indian candidates in those seats (with exception of Sungai Siput which has an Independent Malay candidate &#8211; but I think he doesn&#8217;t have a chance of winning). In this article, we can see that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[130,104],"class_list":["post-1440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-indian","tag-election-2008","tag-statistics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1440"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1440\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/poobalan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}