Posts Tagged ‘Economy’

Budget 2010 for the regular family

October 23rd, 2009
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This years budget proposal focused on certain industries like agriculture, transportation infrastructure, green technology, health tourism, crime prevention, financial services, halal products, SME, etc.

For the man in the street, nothing much to shout about. [don’t forget to read the Mr & Mrs Malaysia Survey on Income and Finance). For a typical household  of 4 with monthly income between 2k – 8k, can’t see anything really beneficial. Let’s look at the proposals for individual:

1. Proposed increase from RM8000 to RM9000 for personal tax relief. [could have been more, at least RM10000]

2. Proposed increase for EPF and insurance from RM6000 to RM7000, but the extra RM1000 is meant for annuity schemes with insurance companies, if I read the budget correctly. [Should not be limited to annuity. Medical insurance relief should been increased too]

3. School children aged 13 above using KTM will get 50% discount on fares. [Should have included RapidKL]

4. Tax relief of RM500 for individual for broadband use (Streamyx, WiMax, Celcom/Maxis broadband etc) for year 2010 till 2012. [RM500 is not worth much. A decent package will cost RM1200 per year].

5. RM50 service charge for each credit card and RM25 for each supplementary cards, regardless the card was offered for free or not. [Should have allowed first card exemption. I use credit cards for petrol purchase, online payment, auto-billing etc, which actually reduces cost and risk of carry cash]

6. Students entering IPTA will get a netbook and broadband package for RM50 per month for two years. Up to 100,000 students will be offered first, primarily those enrolling in first year and those from low-income family. [good move!]

7. Tax of 5% charged on sale of property. Waived for once in a lifetime. Transfer between relatives, descendants not charged.  Up to RM1000o or 10% is exempted. [Is this really necessary?]

8. Establishment of 1Malaysia clinics in shophouses to cater for urban folks. [good news to reduced medical costs]

9. New scheme from EPF to allow people to buy house using FUTURE savings in Account 2 to purchase house. [This is indeed risky!]

10. Employee EPF contribution can be reverted back to 11% upon request from 2010. However, it will automatically revert to 11% from 2011 onwards.

11. Student who obtain first class results will have their PTPTN loan converted into scholarships. [good news!]

12. 30 top students will be offered National Scholarships based purely on merit to further studies in top world-class universities.

13. Those self-employed or without fixed income can opt to contributed to a 1Malaysia Retirement Scheme to be offered by KWSP. For every RM100 contribution, government will add extra 5% subject to a maximum amount of RM60 per annum. The government contribution is valid for 5 years only. [good move too]

13. A better petrol subsidy scheme will be introduced to cater for the variety of users. That may mean those using higher CC vehicles will get less subsidy. Details not available yet.

On a community note, majority of the funds/projects is expected to filter down to the rural folks, entrepreneurs, and youths from the majority community via established entities like RISDA,FELDA, TEKUN, JAKIM, MARA etc. The Indians are allocated RM20 million under TEKUN for the coming year.

Unfortunately, no increase in alcohol and tobacco taxes.

The budget presentation went on smoothly except at the end, when the PM mentioned about Bagan Pinang victory, which caused a ruckus in the Parliament. There were shouts of “rasuah” by the opposition. Ill-advised move, I’ll say.

Mr and Mrs Malaysia Survey

October 23rd, 2009
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Managed to write this just in time for the Budget. I’m waiting for it to start in 20 minutes or so.

CLSA produced its Mr and Mrs Asia 2009 report, which covers the expenditure and financial trends of the average person (hence the Mr and Mrs in the report). I read the Malaysian segment presentation which was received via an email. The details extracted below are from the Mr and Mrs Malaysia survey updated  Summer 2009. Their first survey was in 2007, so there are some comparisons made at times.

So, do you fit in anywhere in here? Are you an average Mr or Mrs Malaysian? Check it out (note that I have categorised the main points/findings):

  • Location: 285 respondents in Kuala Lumpur (171 or 60%) and smaller cities like Johor Bahru (29), Ipoh (34), Kuantan (17) and Penang (34).
  • Income: Typical household income is RM2,001-5,000 per month (42%) with 84% currently working. 18% have monthly income above RM10,000, 2% earning less than RM1000, 14% earning beween Rm1001 and Rm2000, and 24% earning between RM5,001 and Rm10,000 per month.
  • Age: Their sample has a mean age of 33.2, reflecting Malaysia’s young demographic. 78% are less than 40 years old.
  • Gender: More than half, 58%, are female.
  • Children: 62% have one child and 14% have no children in their household. 15% have two children while 3% have more than 3 children.
  • Dependents: 49% had other dependents than children, and 65% said those were parents.
  • Household Size: Average household has at least four people. Typically two members of the household are employed.
  • Economy Effect on Income: Despite 1Q09 GDP contracting by 6.2% YoY and exports falling 23.5% YTD,  56% said household income has not been affected.
  • Economic Effect on Employment: 67% say the downturn has not affected their employment and 67% have not seen family members affected. 23% say the downturn has affected the jobs of other family members, with 59% saying  one family member is affected. The downturn has affected household income of 44% of respondents, and 70% have changed their spending patterns. But 10% said the income has increased, 63% said income dropped, and 27% said income unchanged since start of 2008.
  • Spending Pattern: Nonetheless, Mr & Mrs Malaysia remain fairly cautious with 70% having changed their spending patterns since the downturn, cutting spending on leisure and entertainment, clothing, food and groceries. Children’s education, mortgages and healthcare took priority. Households have cut spending on leisure/entertainment (1) , clothing (2), food and groceries (3), communications (4), and utilities (5). Changes in income (+/-) affects the leisure/entertainment expenses. Food, mortgage and transport account for bulk of expenses.  Children’s education, healthcare, communication, and clothing account for less of the spending.
  • House: 31% lives in a 1,500-2,000sf house; 79% own their own homes while 64% have one other property. 52% have a mortgage, and of that, 72% said its for one property only.
  • Cars: 94% of respondents own cars. Favorite cars are Toyota and Honda
  • Credit Card: 90% have credit cards. 68% have more than once credit card. Favorite credit card provider is Citibank and favorite debit card provider is Maybank. Credit card preferred over debit cards. 63% spend less than RM1000 on their credit cards, while 24% spend between RM1001 and RM2000. 17% said the credit card expenses increased, but 42% said it reduced.
  • Savings Pattern: The key buffer is the nation’s high savings rate. Malaysians save the equivalent of 43% of GDP. But Mr & Mrs Malaysia are cautious: 81% place their savings in cash deposits and 72% have not bought stocks in the last 12 months. 45% of respondents save 10-20% of their income, and 47% say savings patterns are unchanged since the downturn. 10% are actually saving more while 43% saving less. 65% do not plan to buy shares in next 12 months. Best investments are cash deposits and properties, while the worst are bonds and stocks. 58% put their wealth in properties, 53% invest in equities while another 31% invest in foreign currencies.
  • Employment Outlook:  Despite the slowdown, 19% expect job prospects to worsen in the next 12 months, while 40% said it will improve.
  • Future Expenditures: This is also reflected in their plans to buy big ticket items in the next 12 months, with 28% planning to buy a house and 13% a car. 40% said they won’t make any big purchases in the next 6-12 months, but 26% plan to buy a house within that period.
  • Concerns: Respondents are largely concerned with unemployment and income decline, followed by inability to save and medical costs.
  • Expectation on Government: Mr & Mrs Malaysia want the government to prioritise improving the country’s economic conditions. Unfortunately, not many are confident that the Najib administration can handle the downturn well. 66% do not have confidence in the way the government is handling the downturn and many want the government to reduce crime rates. 49% wants the government to improve the economy.

SMIDEC Johor grant recipient statistics

July 2nd, 2009
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Probably another reason is that there’s too many place to apply to! 🙂

From NST:

THE bulk of the nearly RM39 million worth of grants approved by the Small and Medium Industries Development Corporation (Smidec) for Johor entreprenuers between 2003 and 2008 were channeled to non-Bumiputera companies.

State Entrepreneur and Cooperative Development, Education and Higher Education Committee chairman Datuk Maulizan Bujang said non-bumiputera companies received RM29.86 million while Bumiputera companies received RM8.83 million.

“There are various reasons why the Bumiputera applications for loans were turned down. Among them is the lack of minimum requirements such as a business licence,” said Maulizan, adding that the state government would encourage more Bumiputera entrepreneurs to apply for financial aid from Smidec.

A committee under the state government will work with Smidec to desseminate information about the grants.

Economy contracts 6.2 percent

May 28th, 2009
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I remember reading our economy experts and politicians saying no recession, economy on recovery road, blah, blah, blah, blah..But today papers splash main news: Economic shrinks 6.2 percent, nearly double the expected 3.5%! Now I wonder if those “experts” were really experts or by-products of some top 50,000 colleges, and whether qualified people are making press statements and holding important positions in administration.

Next problem is whether we can still trust analysis and reports made after this because one trust is lost, difficult to win back. Will economy improve in the second half as mentioned below? Well, have to take it with a pinch of salt because these reports have political connotations attached.

The national economy contracted at 6.2% for the first three months this year compared to the same period last year, due to a global economic slump. Economists had expected only a 3.5% contraction.

Bank Negara Governor Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz said at a media briefing yesterday that the financial crisis, which peaked last September and led to a general slowdown in economic activity, had taken longer than expected to be resolved.

She said “the deterioration was greater than expected” and that the exports outlook “remained weak”, adding that the outlook for April to June would depend largely on external factors.

However, she expected the second half of the year to see a better economic performance.

According to statistics released by Bank Negara, the large inventory drawdown, particularly in manufacturing and commodity, also contributed to the decline in growth.

It said all sectors, except for construction, recorded contractions year-on-year. The manufacturing sector declined significantly by 17.6% led by a 23.1% contraction in export-oriented industries with the electrical and electronics subsector experiencing a steep 41.4% contraction.

Domestic-oriented industries also experienced a decline of 15.9% due to weakness in both consumer and construction-related subsectors.

The central bank said the services sector was flat following a 0.1% decline due to the impact from sub-sectors closely linked to the manufacturing sector.

It added that the trade surplus remained large at RM32.7bil as the contraction in imports was larger than in exports due to the lower imports of intermediate and capital goods.

Jobs in Indian Restaurants for youths

May 14th, 2009
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From the Star:

Two major restaurant owners associations will organise a training and placement programme to encourage Malaysians to work in Indian and mamak restaurants.

The “Train and Place” programme, organised by the Malaysian Indian Restaurant Owners’ Association (Primas) and the Malaysian Muslim Restaurant Owners’ Association (Presma), is targeted at local youths and retrenched workers in a bid to reduce the dependence on foreign workers.

“We are trying to meet the Government’s policy of reducing foreign workers and this is our first step in achieving that goal,” programme director D. Arun told a press conference yesterday.

He said the three-month course would begin in June with 200 applicants targeted.

“The Human Resources Ministry will sponsor the participant’s tuition fee of RM4,500 and if the response is good we will take in more trainees at the next intake,” he added.

He said the training would be held in various institutes in the Klang Valley in English, Bahasa Malaysia and Tamil.

Those who complete the course would be quickly placed in restaurants around the Klang Valley, with the Government paying them RM800 each, Arun added.

Presma president Datuk Jamarulkhan Kadir said it was the right time to launch the programme as the Indian food and beverage industry was in need of more manpower.

“We are working to hire locals instead of foreigners but the problem is that most locals have a negative impression of being a restaurant worker,” said Jamarulkhan.

Primas president Datuk R. Ramalingam Pillai said that there were currently 75,000 foreign workers in the industry, and the ultimate aim was to get locals to replace them.

Primas and Presma are also setting up a Centre for Innovative Restaurant Skills to better train workers by the year end.

Those interested in joining the “Train and Place” programme can download the application form at www.restaurantjobregistry.com or call 03-7954-9270 for enquiries. Registration starts on May 19.

This is the way to go. Instead of relying on foreign workers, its time to train our own youths, give them decent salary and work environment. Of course, there will be some bad hats and hiccups, but in the long run it will be good for the economy as more money is generated in the country and increase consumer spending power. Remember, “a youth who is preoccupied won’t have time to cause trouble”.