Posts Tagged ‘Economy’

Pakatan Rakyat’s shadow budget

October 4th, 2011
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Update: Some details of the shadow budget is available on Lim Kit Siang’s blog here.

I haven’t read the federal opposition’s shadow budget in full, but only the points mentioned in newspapers. The budget costs RM220 billion and will reduce the deficit to 4.4%.  Revenue is RM181 billion, with the expected income from auctions of approved permits (APs), higher oil prices and reintroducing import tax on 200 luxury items that was lifted by federal government last year.

The shadow budget proposed that

– RM22 billion is used for subsidies

– RM5.9 billion to implement minimum wage of RM1100 for civil servants

– reallocate RM10 billion from PM’s department to other ministries.

– an annual allowance of RM1,000 to be given to mothers to encourage them to enter the workforce

– a RM1,000 bonus for senior citizens with annual income of less than RM18,000 as well as for qualified housewives

Other details are not available yet, so I’m not sure how the budget will be provided for.  The news in cyberspace so far seem to indicate a less than enthusiastic response, mainly with the proposal to implement minimum wage for civil servants.

I would have proposed that bonus for senior citizens to be RM3600 instead of RM1000, probably in the form of vouchers. The annual allowance of RM1,000 for mothers also too little. I would have proposed to have a compulsory creche/nursery in workplaces or buildings with tax incentive given to those employers who provide such facilities. Also, provide tax incentive to those employers who promote telecommuting. Maybe also encourage employers with more than 500 employees to provide bus free services to their employees to reduce pollution and traffic jams.

I would also propose a big allocation for education to implement single session schooling which can kill many birds with stone.

I would also proposed a gradual reduction in civil service size in line with the international norms, which can help alleviate the salary increment cost. Probably also toss in some privatization exercise to reduce size of civil service.

We have to wait till Friday to see how the federal government’s budget turns out before able to make any comparison.

sources:

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/pakatan-budget-cant-rein-in-spending-says-bn/

 

http://www.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2011/10/4/nation/20111004151734&sec=nation

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/pakatan-says-can-add-rm15.5b-to-government-revenue/

 

6 percent service tax for postpaid users

September 8th, 2011
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From the way it sounds, the telcos been paying the service tax all this while, so its not an issue of government needing more money.  If the service provided to both prepaid and postpaid customers are the same in terms of call quality, charges etc., then why should only postpaid customers should pay while prepaid ones don’t? Can we honestly say that all the postpaid customers are from low income category?

 

Those buying prepaid reloads and prepaid starter/SIM packs will be charged a 6% service tax from Sept 15.

Prepaid customers would be informed via SMS beginning Thursday about the new service tax, the Malaysian telco industry said in a joint statement here.

Customers can also refer to the respective telcos’ websites for details or contact the customer service centres if they have further queries.

The telcos said the service tax is a consumption tax and chargeable to the customer, as provided for in the service tax laws.

The Service Tax Act 1975 requires telecommunication companies to levy service tax at the prevailing rate on telecommunication services, including mobile prepaid services.

This is similar to the service tax levied on food and beverage purchases from restaurants and hotels.

Whilst service tax on prepaids is not new, the telcos have been absorbing it for mobile prepaid services since the introduction in 1998.

The move taken is to ensure mobile prepaid services remain competitive compared to the postpaid, given the high prepaid rates for calls and SMS at its onset.

With prepaid rates progressively reduced over the years, it is currently offered at very competitive rates. “With the six per cent service tax on prepaid services, a customer who purchases a RM10 prepaid reload will need to pay RM10.60, with the 60 sen being the service tax,” the statement said. – Bernama

source: http://www.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2011/9/8/nation/20110908131500&sec=nation

We want to…but we can’t pay more for eco-friendly products

September 7th, 2011
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Looks like Malaysian have the heart but don’t have the means. Of course its nice to say that we support eco-friendly products and companies, but no point when we are unable to purchase those products due to cost factor.

We worry about pollution but we are the ones who patronise restaurants that dump waste into drains. We are not bothered about the pasar malam or market sellers who pollute the environment, nor are we concerned about the factories and industry that damage in large scale. We are the ones who dispose garbage everywhere, litter in public places, don’t maintain vehicles till cause air pollution, grumble when there’s no plastic bag offered at supermarkets, print paper as we like, and so on. Ideally it would be nice to be eco-friendly, but realistically, not many can afford to do so. Most people are busy working 2 or 3 jobs trying to put food on table, where got time for all this.

 

The majority of Malaysians worry about the environment but only one in five is willing to pay more for eco-friendly products, according to the Nielsen 2011 Global Online Environment and Sustainability Survey.

The survey polled over 25,000 Internet respondents in 51 countries.

It said the huge disparity between environmental concerns and price sensitivity placed Malaysians as the second least likely group among their Asean counterparts to pay more for eco-friendly products.

Survey results showed 38% of people said they would buy cheaper non-eco-friendly products despite preferring eco-friendly products.

Another 41% said they would buy whatever was cheapest, on promotion or better value for their money.

Nielsen Malaysia managing director Kow Kuan Hua said the high prices of eco-friendly products such as organic food were a hindrance to Malaysian consumers.

“They are also concerned about other push factors such as the economy, rising living and fuel costs, which will drive them to buy cheaper options,” he said.

However, the survey also revealed that Malaysians had a positive view of retailers and manufacturers with environmentally-sustainable practices, with 52% saying they would be influenced to shop and buy from them.

Nine out of 10 Malaysians surveyed also expressed great concern over air pollution, water pollution and global warming.

This put Malaysia in ninth position among all the countries surveyed in terms of consumer worries about the impact of air pollution and global warming.

source: http://www.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2011/9/7/nation/20110907181455&sec=nation

Malaysia ranked 21 in WEF’s Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012

September 7th, 2011
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Malaysia has improved on its ranking from 26 (out of 139 countries) in the 2010-2011 report to 21 (out of 142 countries) in the latest report. We did very well in financial market development (3rd in the world).  This is a definite boost to the current government as many areas has seen improvement compared to last year’s report and in fact the ranking has improved from the last 3 years. Not sure how the recent economic downturn will affect next year’s rankings.

Summary provided by WEF:

Malaysia gains five ranks to reach 21st position, registering improvements across the board. The country’s progress is particularly noteworthy in the institutions and macroeconomic environment pillars, as well as in several measures of market efficiency. Among the prominent advantages of this strong and consistent performance are its efficient and sound financial sector— which places among the world’s most developed, just behind Singapore and Hong Kong—and its highly efficient goods market, ranked 15th. In addition, its macroeconomic situation has improved markedly over the past year to reach 29th place, even though the country continues to run a budget deficit of about 5 percent of GDP. As it moves toward becoming more innovation driven, Malaysia will need to improve its performance in education and technological readiness. In the latter dimension, the country places a low 44th, with room for improvement in technological adoption by both businesses and the population at large. In terms of higher education and training (38th), improving access remains a priority in light of low enrollment rates of 69 percent (101st) and 36 percent (66th) for secondary and tertiary education, respectively.

 

refer 2010-2011 report here (Malaysia’s stats is on page 228-229):

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2010-11.pdf

refer 2011-2012 report here  (Malaysia’s stats is on page 248-249):

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GCR_Report_2011-12.pdf

You can also view the report in interactive HTML format here:

http://reports.weforum.org/global-competitiveness-2011-2012/

 

GDP down to 4 percent while CPI up 3.1 percent for 2011

August 18th, 2011
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A bit of negative news as GDP was down to 4% in quarter two 2011, down from 4.6% in quarter one 2011.  Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 3.4% in July and averaged 3.1% for Jan-July 2011 period.  Transport, Food and non-alcoholic beverages indices saw increases which contributed to the rise in CPI.

 However, PM Najib is confident that GDP target of 5 t0 6 % can be reached:

Datuk Seri Najib Razak remains hopeful over the country’s economic outlook for the year although Malaysia chalked its fifth consecutive decline in GDP growth last quarter, pointing out today that inflation has remained “manageable” and the budget deficit target “on track”.

The prime minister told a brief press conference here today that there were no plans to revise Putrajaya’s 5 to 6 per cent GDP (gross domestic product) forecast although growth had decelerated to its slowest pace of 4 per cent since the 2009 recession.

But Najib echoed Bank Negara governor Tan Sri Zeti Akhtar Aziz’s views yesterday that while stronger growth is expected in the second half of the year, Malaysia’s GDP would likely be “closer to 5 per cent”.

“We have already said our estimate for this year is 5 to 6 per cent. But we estimate it will likely be closer to 5 per cent.

“The world economy is very volatile and uncertain so it is hard to fix a number for an estimate. We decide according to a range and the range is 5 to 6 per cent so we will retain this,” he told reporters after chairing a National Finance Council meeting at the Finance Ministry.

The prime minister said the government was still on track with its target to reduce the fiscal deficit to 5.4 per cent of the GDP this year.

“Deficit, so far so good. In a sense that our commitment to reduce deficit from 5.6 per cent to 5.4 per cent is on track,” he said.

The Najib administration aims to trim the government’s fiscal deficit, which hit a 20-year high of seven per cent in 2009, from 5.6 per cent last year to 5.4 per cent.

“Inflation too is still manageable. Latest figures showed a drop.

“Steps taken, such as controlling and reducing the price of chicken, have affected the inflation rate. We hope to record a low inflation rate while at the same time see a robust economy,” he said.

The other articles:

Malaysia’s economic growth decelerated to its slowest pace of four per cent since the 2009 recession as the country was hit by a slowdown in external demand and a moderation in government spending, Bank Negara said today.

This was the fifth consecutive decline in quarterly growth and down from the 4.6 per cent growth registered in the first quarter of this year.

Bank Negara governor Tan Sri Zeti Akhtar Aziz added, however, that stronger growth is expected in the second half of the year and that while there is no revision to the 5-6 per cent growth target for the year, it will “very likely be closer to 5 per cent.”

Zeti said that the nation’s economic fundamentals were still strong with a 5.2 per cent growth in domestic consumption, low unemployment and low levels of impaired loans at only two per cent.

Domestic consumption growth was down, however, from 6.9 per cent in the first quarter due to public sector spending growth falling from 8.9 per cent to four per cent.

Private sector consumption growth, meanwhile, remained fairly steady at 6.4 per cent as compared with 6.7 per cent in the first quarter.

Net foreign direct investment (FDI) rose to RM6.2 billion in the second quarter from RM4 billion in the first quarter thanks to an improved investment climate, which led to an increase in domestic private sector investment, said Zeti.

With concerns mounting over a global economic slowdown, the central bank will now have to balance the need to fight inflation while supporting economic activity in setting interest rates.

Zeti said that inflation hit 3.4 per cent in July and 3.3 per cent for the first half of the year.

She said that the central bank’s current overnight policy rate (OPR) of three per cent was still supportive of economic growth.

The Malaysian economy grew 7.2 per cent in 2010 as it rebounded from the global economic slowdown in 2009.

The global economy this year, however, has been shaken by the spread of the euro zone debt problem to Italy and Spain and by fears that the recovery of the US economy may be faltering.

Share market investor confidence also slumped in recent weeks after Standard & Poor’s cut the credit rating of the world’s biggest economy and the debt crisis in Europe threatened to escalate.

Reflecting the fears of slower economic growth, Bank Negara has so far raised borrowing costs only once this year to three per cent as compared with three increases in 2010 despite inflation hitting its highest level in two years in June.

source: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/gdp-growth-slows-to-4pc-as-global-economy-falters/

 

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of July rose 3.4 per cent to 103.4, from 100.0 recorded in the same month last year.

It was up 0.2 per cent from June this year.

National news agency, Bernama, carried a statement by the Statistics Department in which it announced that the CPI was up 3.1 per cent to 102.7 for the period of January-July 2011, compared with 99.6 registered in the same period last year.

Further, the index for Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages and Non-Food for July 2011 showed increases of 4.9 per cent and 2.7 per cent respectively when compared against the same month in 2010.

In June, the index for Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages and Non-Food increased by 0.4 per cent and 0.1 per cent respectively.

For period of January-July 2011, the index for Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages and Non-Food increased by 4.6 per cent and 2.5 per cent respectively against the previous corresponding period.

The 3.1 per cent increase in CPI for January-July was the result of increases observed in the indices of all the main groups except for Clothing & Footwear (-0.4 per cent) and Communication (-0.1 per cent).

The Statistics Department said key increases among these main groups with high weights were Transport (+5.0 per cent); Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+4.6 per cent); and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+1.6 per cent).

source: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/july-saw-cpi-rise-3.4pc/