Posts Tagged ‘Statistics’

Fuel increase and its impact

June 4th, 2008
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Today at 5pm, the Prime Minister made statements (read it at PMO’s website together with the distribution of the income) that sent shockwaves throughout the country. Many were expecting increase in oil prices, but not up to 40%. Even Taiwan increased by 16% recently, while Indonesia by 30%. India also increased oil prices today in the capital areas (refer Malaysiakini). I can accept an increase of 78 sen which is very very steep, but it could have been done gradually step-wise in 3 months instead of in one single sweep.

Diesel saw an increase of RM1 (63%) to RM2.58. But it does not affect the public transportation services.

The PM also announced new tariff for TNB which takes effect from 1st July. This means those who spend less than RM43.60 (200 kW) currently would not be affected. Those who spend more than that amount will see an increase of 18%. The new tariff is as follows:

1-200 kW = RM21.80

201-400 = Rm34.50 (increase of 19.4% from RM28.90)

for first 500 units above 400 kw is 30 sen/unit. Anything above 900 units is 46 sen per unit. Complete table is here.

He acknowledges that this is not a popular decision, but a necessary one.

“We try our best. This isn’t an attempt to be popular. (But) we have to think in the best interest of the people,” he told reporters during a 50-minute press conference held at his office in Putrajaya this afternoon.

“We can’t satisfy everyone. Anything that involves people paying more, naturally they are going to be unhappy. (I hope) they will understand the circumstances we are working under,” he added.

source
Let’s look at the benefits (for general public) being offered:

1. Those with car having 2000cc (and bikes below 250cc) and below will get RM625 (Rm150 for bikes) annual rebate when they renew road tax beginning 1st July. Those qualified are road tax from 1st April 2008. However, it is clear that the rebate will not even cover half a year’s increase in petrol price. Money will be given in form of Postal Order when road tax is renewed, so make sure your addresses are updated at JPJ.

2. For those with bigger capacity cars, they will “enjoy” RM200 reduction in road tax. Similar for bikes with more than 250cc.

3. Cooking oil prices remain.

4. Service tax criteria for restaurants increased from RM500,000 to RM3 million. Thus many restaurants are expected NOT to charge service tax. Please check before you pay.

» Read more: Fuel increase and its impact

trade surplus grows means economy doing well?

June 3rd, 2008
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 Reports for February and March showed similar statistics – increase in trade surplus. However, there’s a big jump between March and April, which is 43.9%, exports higher by 8.2% compared to March, but imports also increased slightly by 1.67%. The main contributors for export are the same – electronics, palm oil, petroleum, and chemical products. The report did not mention about volume of exported products, so we can’t say if its higher volume or higher price (due to market demand and currency rates) that increased the sales.

Hmmm..what am I trying to say?

If I sell 10 kg of apples at RM5 per kilo, that’s RM50 sales.

volume X price= sales

To increase sales, I have to increase either volume or price, or both. So, which is which? A check on MITI’ website also does not provide details on both price or volume.


Malaysia’s trade surplus grew sharply to RM11.48 billion in April as exports jumped 20.9 percent, according to official data released today.

The April surplus was 95.8 percent higher than the same period last year, and up 43.9 percent from March, the Ministry of International Trade and Industry said.

Exports reached RM55.8 billion, a 20.9 percent increase from April 2007 and up 8.2 percent compared to March this year.

“Major product sectors which contributed to the increase in exports in April 2008 were electrical and electronics products, palm oil, crude petroleum as well as chemicals and chemical products,” the ministry said.

April imports grew 10 percent from last year to RM44.32 billion and were 1.67 percent higher against March levels.

Malaysia’s exports to the United States, its main trading partner, grew to RM7.89 billion in April, a 6.4 percent increase from the same period last year on higher exports of electrical and electronic products.

http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/83891

What is patriotism?

May 26th, 2008
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The short article below ties patriotism to the word’s by the minister on youths questioning the “social contract”.

I’m curious: is questioning things like “social contract” deemed unpatriotic? Do we view this from legal aspect? From logical aspect? From natural justice aspect? From emotional aspect?

And how does one verify the answer to the question above?

THE level of patriotism among Malaysian youths was not as high as expected, Youth and Sports Minister Datuk Ismail Sabri said. Quoting the minister, Malaysia Nanban reported that the current index on patriotism among youths was only at 68.2%. He said many of them still questioned the social contract with which the country achieved its independence.

source

Pay rise increased civil service job application

May 19th, 2008
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Earlier, no breakdown was mentioned by PSD. In the article below, more numbers are revealed. Let’s look at them:

Chinese – 5421 / 47,253 (11.47% of total application from July till Dec 2007). in 2006, it was 11.21% (1347 / 12,020). An increase of 402.45% (5421 / 1347) from corresponding period in 2006.

Indian –  6113 / 47,253 (12.94% of the total application). 2006, it was 16.25% (1953 / 12,020). An increase of  313% (6113 / 1953).

Other races –  35,719 / 47,253 (75.59% of the total application). 2006, it was 72.55% (8720 / 12,020). An increase of 409.62% (35,719 / 8720).

Now, we can see that for Indians, the percentage dropped from 16.25 to 12.94 for total application in 2007 whereas for others it increased a little. The increase of application year-to-year is also lower (313%) as compared to Chinese and other races. Not so significant, but probably an indication that Indians have been applying for government jobs all the time, and the pay rise actually influenced others to apply.

Secondly, we need to establish what constitutes “other races”. I guess those from East Malaysia play a big factor.

And of course, as I mentioned earlier, the whole range of data is needed to further analyse civil service intake.

» Read more: Pay rise increased civil service job application

Malaysia moves up to 19th in Competitiveness Yearbook

May 18th, 2008
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I wrote about the IMD’s Competitiveness Yearbook 2007’s results early of this year. 2008 results are just out. I’ll post the details later, but for the moment, our rankings improved 4 notches to reach 19th place. Good news indeed. However, the points this year are lower, meaning those above us previously had got much lower points – possibly due to economic stagnations? More later.


Malaysia improves on competitiveness ranking

source

PETALING JAYA: Malaysia has improved on its world competitiveness ranking in the International Institute for Management Development’s (IMD) World Competitiveness Yearbook 2008 (WCY08).

In a report issued by the IMD on Thursday, Malaysia moved up four spots to 19th place with a score of 73.2 points out of 100.

Last year, Malaysia was ranked 23rd with 74.1 points. The United States maintained its first placing, while Singapore and Hong Kong maintained theirs at second and third respectively.

RAM Holdings Bhd chief economist Dr Yeah Kim Leng said the ranking was a “timely boost” for the economy. He said the rise was mainly due to significant improvement in the delivery system and other measures taken by the Government to improve efficiency and competition.

Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd economist Wan Suhaimi Saidi said that while the measures taken did have an impact, the ranking only gave a “first impression” to investors. He said the country still faced a host of challenges despite moving up the rankings.