Subscribe in a reader | Subscribe by Email The Star did not mention the source of its statistics, so I assume they did the calculations themselves.
Of the parties drawing the biggest of the popular votes in Parliament, Umno leads at 35.51% (2,462,749) followed by PAS (21.65% – 1,501,800), PKR (13.15% – 911,761) DAP (12.76% – 884,941) and MCA (9.14% – 633,985). In the states, it was almost the same order with Umno leading at 29.99% (2,371,867) followed by PKR (18.6% – 1,471,150), PAS (14.75% – 1,166,918), DAP (14.01% – 1,107,960) and MCA (10.74% – 849,108).
From the above it is only logical since UMNO contested the most seats, thus having highest probability of securing more votes, even if a candidates loses. Worryingly, PAS seems to have second highest popular votes percentage in Parliment, even though they contested less seats than PKR. DAP obviously trashed MCA in all sense, so nothing much to consider there, except that DAP contest in more seats than MCA. MIC is not in the list.
In terms of actual votes, those voting for the opposition increased by over one million and that for the Barisan dropped by between 360,000 and 396,000.
That means opposition received nearly 600k new votes and 360-400k switched from voting BN?
This election, the popular vote for Barisan was biggest in Johor (15% – 613,813) and Selangor (12.8% – 522,091). The opposition scored big in Selangor (17.09% – 656,347) and Perak (11.74% – 450,929).
Again Johor being UMNO stronghold, received higher votes. Selangor and Perak were won by the opposition, meaning whatever they did, or whatever happened in these states gave advantage to the opposition.
In the four “new” states that Barisan lost – Kedah, Penang, Perak and Selangor – the decrease in popular votes for the MCA, Gerakan, MIC and PPP was less than that for Umno, which ranged from two percentage points in Perak and Selangor to five percentage points in Kedah and seven in Penang.
Hmmm… this indicates not much of a swing among Chinese and Indian votes, even though in some area the Chinese and Muslims make up more than 60% of the voters. Or is it people don’t like UMNO candidates as much as other candidates?
In the distribution of popular votes within the DAP-PAS-PKR loose coalition in those four states, the DAP topped the list in Penang (54.62%0 and Perak (42.42%) while PAS led them in Kedah (69.89%) and PKR in Selangor (35.93%).
More reasons for DAP candidate to be Perak MB. Nearly half the state support DAP!
BN loses 12 percentage points in popular vote
By SHAILA KOSHY
KUALA LUMPUR: The popular vote for the Barisan Nasional dropped around 12 percentage points to 51% this election, but lead party Umno still drew the lion’s share of the popular votes for both parliamentary and state seats.
Of the parties drawing the biggest of the popular votes in Parliament, Umno leads at 35.51% (2,462,749) followed by PAS (21.65% – 1,501,800), PKR (13.15% – 911,761) DAP (12.76% – 884,941) and MCA (9.14% – 633,985).
In the states, it was almost the same order with Umno leading at 29.99% (2,371,867) followed by PKR (18.6% – 1,471,150), PAS (14.75% – 1,166,918), DAP (14.01% – 1,107,960) and MCA (10.74% – 849,108).
However, the statistics show that Umno, PAS and PKR have greater popularity in Parliament while the DAP and MCA had greater popularity in the states.
In terms of actual votes, those voting for the opposition increased by over one million and that for the Barisan dropped by between 360,000 and 396,000.
This election, the popular vote for Barisan was biggest in Johor (15% – 613,813) and Selangor (12.8% – 522,091). The opposition scored big in Selangor (17.09% – 656,347) and Perak (11.74% – 450,929).
In the state election, the popular vote for Barisan dropped 12.5 percentage points from 63.8% in 2004 to 51.3% this time. In terms of votes, they lost 395,152 votes while the opposition gained 1,138,426 votes.
In the four “new” states that Barisan lost – Kedah, Penang, Perak and Selangor – the decrease in popular votes for the MCA, Gerakan, MIC and PPP was less than that for Umno, which ranged from two percentage points in Perak and Selangor to five percentage points in Kedah and seven in Penang.
In the distribution of popular votes within the DAP-PAS-PKR loose coalition in those four states, the DAP topped the list in Penang (54.62%0 and Perak (42.42%) while PAS led them in Kedah (69.89%) and PKR in Selangor (35.93%).
Although those voting for PAS in Kedah increased by 15% (32,792), its popular votes decreased 12.6 percentage points this time.
As for PKR, those voting for the party almost doubled from when it was known as Parti Keadilan in 2004. However, its popular vote dropped marginally by a 1.2 percentage points in Selangor.
Bro, Your earlier Post on Indian candidates and DAP-PKR was very comprehensive.
we have not included the 100’000 over Non citizen indians who are yet to get their Birth Certificates & IC.
We have been led to believe we are a small 8% but actually if we look at peninsular malaysia, we are about 15% in some states and a National average of 10%.
The actual results if we minus Sabah & Sarawak tell us a different story alltogether. BN only got 49% of Votes in Peninsular Malaysia.
So its a Minority goverment.
STAR is a spin off Bn so they give us statistic which the present Central govt wants us to see.
Here is the article from SINGAPORE STRAIT TIMES:
BN loses over half of votes in peninsular Malaysia
Posted by Raja Petra
Tuesday, 11 March 2008
By Leslie Koh, THE STRAITS TIMES
BARISAN NASIONAL’S (BN) losses could not have looked sadder: Five states lost to the opposition – up from one in 2004 – and a staggering 28 per cent drop in the number of parliamentary seats held, from 198 to 140.
But it does get worse.
A tally of the actual votes cast for the ruling coalition shows that though it had seized 63 per cent of the 222 parliamentary seats, it had won barely half the 7.9 million votes cast on Saturday – 51 per cent.
The only thing that helped BN inch past the halfway mark was the votes from Sabah and Sarawak. The high proportion of non-Malay bumiputeras there make for BN strongholds, which is why the coalition managed to win all but two of the 57 seats there with 61.5 per cent of the votes.
Political parties in East Malaysia are notorious for changing sides, though BN support has been consistently high since the mid-1990s.
When these two states are taken out of the equation, BN’s share of total votes on the peninsular drops below the halfway mark to 49 per cent – the worst since 1969.
This means that more than half of the citizens on Peninsular Malaysia voted against the government, a fact that could cast doubts on BN’s legitimacy to lead the country.
‘As far as the parliamentary results are concerned, the ruling coalition should have done even more badly than what they achieved,’ said political science professor Mohammad Agus Yusoff from the National University of Malaysia.
Opposition groups have long blamed gerrymandering for discrepancies between popular vote and seats, claiming that polling districts favour the government.
In 2004, BN secured 91 per cent of the 219 parliamentary seats with only 63 per cent of the popular vote.
Still, BN cannot hide from the stark truth that it has lost much support from Chinese and Indian voters disenchanted with what they saw as an unrelenting series of actions discriminating against religious minorities.
Figures by independent analysts indicate a huge swing of votes among these two communities, which make up about one-third of the 27 million strong population.
An estimated 35 per cent of Chinese voted for BN on Saturday, a dramatic drop of 30 percentage points from the high of 65 per cent in 2004.
The drop for Indian voters was even larger: it dropped 35 percentage points from 82 per cent in 2004 to 47 per cent this year.
The sharp drop is reflected in the loss of 30 seats by BN’s Chinese and Indian partners – the Malaysian Chinese Association, Gerakan and Malaysian Indian Congress.
The tally of seats held by Malay, Chinese or Indian BN MPs tells a similar story, especially when discounting the East Malaysia effect.
In 2004, 42 of BN’s seats were held by Chinese MPs, and 10 by Indians on the peninsular. It plummeted to 17 and three last weekend respectively – a loss of 25 Chinese and seven Indian MPs.
In contrast, the DAP and PKR managed to put 16 more Chinese and 11 more Indians into Parliament.
Not that the BN managed to successfully retain its traditional support from Malay voters. It not only lost some of the Malay vote – 63 to 58 per cent – but also lost 28 Malay MPs on the peninsular.
The coalition also appeared to perform poorly in urban areas, which tend to be hit hardest by rising crime and inflation. In the financial capital of Kuala Lumpur, BN got just 38 per cent of all votes cast – its lowest and even less than in the five states it lost.
‘There is great disfavour in the urban population that we can see in the popular vote, which is more reflective of public sentiment,’ said director of the Centre for Public Policy Studies think-tank Tricia Yeoh.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FROM ASSOCIATED PRESS, AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE